Is the U.S. Government Signaling the End of BGP?

April 21, 2025
government ending BGP graphic

When the Federal Communications Commission began barring Chinese telecom providers and pushing for mandatory routing security protocols, it wasn't just another cybersecurity initiative—it was a signal that the U.S. government no longer trusts the very protocol that routes most of the world's internet traffic. The Border Gateway Protocol (BGP) has been the internet's routing backbone for decades, but a series of high-profile hijacking incidents and growing national security concerns are forcing a reckoning: can we continue to rely on a protocol that was never designed with security in mind?

This article examines how U.S. government actions are reshaping internet routing security, and why these moves might mark the beginning of the end for BGP as we know it. From new compliance mandates to the promotion of alternative protocols, federal agencies are taking unprecedented steps that could fundamentally change how data moves across the internet—and force organizations to rethink their approach to network security.

From Technical Concern to National Security Crisis

The U.S. government's sudden urgency around BGP security reflects a stark reality: what was once considered a purely technical problem has evolved into a national security crisis. Recent intelligence assessments suggest that foreign actors, particularly state-sponsored groups, are actively exploiting BGP vulnerabilities to conduct large-scale surveillance and data collection operations. These activities have transformed BGP from a routing protocol issue into a geopolitical vulnerability.

The timing of this shift is crucial. As tensions rise with technological competitors like China and Russia, U.S. intelligence agencies have identified BGP manipulation as a key vector for cyber espionage. When a single BGP hijack can reroute sensitive military communications, financial transactions, or critical infrastructure data through hostile networks, the protocol's inherent trust model becomes a national security liability.

The risks posed by BGP insecurity are incredibly high for sectors reliant on uninterrupted connectivity and data privacy, such as finance, healthcare, energy, and telecommunications. For example, a BGP incident impacting the financial industry could disrupt banking operations, lead to data breaches, or expose transactions to unauthorized surveillance. With so much of modern life and business relying on secure data flow, BGP security is a priority for public agencies and private enterprises. Recognizing this, the U.S. government has started taking active steps to mitigate these risks, from restricting certain foreign telecom providers to promoting protocols designed to add a layer of validation to BGP routes.

From Theoretical Threat to Active Weapon

While BGP hijacking was once primarily a tool for cybercriminals seeking financial gain, recent incidents suggest it has evolved into a sophisticated weapon in the arsenal of nation-state actors. The following cases reveal an escalating pattern of BGP exploitation that has forced the U.S. government's hand:

Cloudflare 1.1.1.1 Outage (2024): A Wake-Up Call

On June 27, 2024, Cloudflare's popular 1.1.1.1 DNS resolver service was disrupted when a BGP hijack led to a widespread outage, unreachable or degraded for many users globally. Though this incident was resolved quickly, it demonstrated the significant impact BGP hijacking can have on accessibility, particularly for essential services like DNS. These disruptions serve as a reminder that as reliance on internet-based services grows, the stakes of securing BGP routing become even higher.

The MyEtherWallet Attack (2018): Early Warning

In 2018, attackers exploited BGP's weaknesses to reroute traffic destined for MyEtherWallet, a cryptocurrency wallet service. Attackers diverted traffic through an unauthorized AS by hijacking the route, intercepting transactions, and stealing users' cryptocurrency. This incident underscored BGP's susceptibility to exploitation and demonstrated these attacks' severe financial and privacy implications. BGP hijacking presents a clear risk for companies dealing with sensitive transactions, such as banks and e-commerce sites, which current BGP protocols cannot entirely prevent.

European Telecom Misconfiguration (2019)

In 2019, a European telecom provider inadvertently rerouted internet traffic for significant companies, including Google and Cloudflare, through its network due to a BGP misconfiguration. Although unintentional, this event resulted in substantial slowdowns and service disruptions for users worldwide. More concerning was that traffic rerouted through an unauthorized AS exposed it to potential surveillance or interception risks, highlighting BGP's lack of safeguards to prevent unapproved routes from being advertised and adopted across networks. Such incidents have brought renewed urgency to implementing security measures that validate BGP routes.

These incidents illustrate the wide-ranging impacts of BGP vulnerabilities on organizations, users, and critical services. They highlight how current BGP protocols fall short in providing robust security, which can compromise business operations and pose significant privacy risks.

BGP: A National Security Liability

The U.S. government's intelligence community has identified three critical scenarios that have moved BGP security from a technical consideration to a matter of national defense:

Mass Surveillance Through Route Hijacking

How foreign actors could use BGP manipulation to conduct widespread surveillance of U.S. internet traffic, potentially accessing sensitive government, military, and corporate communications.

Critical Infrastructure Disruption

The potential for adversaries to use BGP attacks to disable or degrade essential services, from power grids to emergency response systems.

Economic Warfare Capabilities

How BGP vulnerabilities could be exploited to disrupt financial markets, intercept trade secrets, or compromise the integrity of business transactions.

Beyond real-world incidents, theoretical risks associated with BGP underscore why the U.S. government is concerned about its security. BGP's design assumes that networks (ASes) will act in good faith, without malicious intent, and does not have built-in mechanisms to authenticate route advertisements. This "trust-based" model makes BGP vulnerable to a range of theoretical attacks, each carrying significant implications.

BGP Hijacking and Route Interception

One of the most significant theoretical risks of BGP is **hijacking**. In this attack, a malicious AS can announce that it owns specific IP prefixes, redirecting traffic through its network instead of the intended route. This allows for potential **interception** of sensitive data, surveillance, and even alteration of data before it reaches its destination. BGP hijacking isn't just a technical vulnerability; it's a national security risk, as critical infrastructure data could be rerouted through networks controlled by foreign actors, posing privacy and intelligence-gathering risks.

BGP Route Leaks

Another risk is **BGP route leaking**, where an AS accidentally or intentionally advertises routes to networks not authorized to see them. This can lead to inefficient routing, higher latency, or data passing through regions with weaker security measures. Route leaks also increase the chance of data exposure, as traffic meant to stay within secure, trusted ASes could be rerouted through less secure paths, raising privacy concerns and degrading service quality for users. For businesses, this theoretical risk could lead to inconsistent performance or lost customer trust if unintended networks handle sensitive data.

Lack of Authentication in BGP

At its core, BGP lacks authentication, making it vulnerable to malicious actors impersonating legitimate networks. This gap allows attackers to spoof legitimate ASes, injecting fraudulent routes into the global routing table. For example, a malicious entity could impersonate a trusted AS to siphon data from unsuspecting organizations. While protocols like RPKI and BGPsec aim to address some of these risks, adoption has been slow, and these solutions are not yet comprehensive.

The theoretical vulnerabilities of BGP pose significant risks to privacy and performance, emphasizing the need for more robust and secure routing protocols.

The Government's Three-Pronged Offensive Against BGP Vulnerabilities

The U.S. government has moved beyond mere recommendations to launch what amounts to a coordinated offensive against BGP vulnerabilities. This multi-agency effort represents the most aggressive government intervention in internet routing security to date, suggesting that federal authorities view BGP's weaknesses as an immediate threat to national security.

Phase 1: Isolating Foreign Threats (2021-2023)

  • FCC's unprecedented revocation of Chinese telecom licenses
  • Department of Commerce's restrictions on network equipment purchases
  • Intelligence community's warnings about foreign BGP manipulation
  • Impact: Created first major rifts in the global internet routing fabric

Phase 2: Domestic Hardening (2023-2024)

  • Mandatory RPKI adoption for federal agencies
  • New CISA guidelines for critical infrastructure protection
  • Financial incentives for private sector security upgrades
  • Impact: Established two-tier internet routing system (secured federal vs. traditional commercial)

Phase 3: Future Transformation (2024-Beyond)

- Research funding for BGP alternatives
- Pilot programs for new routing protocols
- Proposed legislation for mandatory security standards
- Impact: Signals potential end of universal BGP adoption

Vendor Restrictions and National Security

The Federal Communications Commission (FCC) has taken steps to address security risks by restricting certain foreign telecom providers. In recent years, Chinese companies like China Telecom and China Unicom have been barred from providing services in the U.S., with the government citing concerns over potential data interception and manipulation by state actors. This restriction is rooted in the fears that BGP hijacking or rerouting by foreign entities could allow traffic from critical sectors to be surveilled or intercepted. These actions also serve as a warning to U.S.-based companies, emphasizing the need to evaluate international partners in light of potential security risks carefully.

Impact on Organizations: The restrictions mean businesses using these foreign telecom providers must now find new partners, which could increase operational costs and impact service continuity. This has prompted many companies to reevaluate their vendors for potential security vulnerabilities, particularly those that could expose sensitive data to untrusted networks.

Promotion of RPKI and BGPsec

To address BGP's lack of route validation, the U.S. government has encouraged federal agencies and private sector partners to adopt Resource Public Key Infrastructure (RPKI) and BGPsec protocols. RPKI provides cryptographic validation of route origin, while BGPsec adds layer of security by validating the entire path of route announcements. Although not yet widely adopted, these protocols represent a proactive approach to preventing unauthorized ASes from injecting malicious routes into the global BGP table.

The White House, in particular, has recommended that federal agencies prioritize RPKI adoption to secure sensitive data against BGP hijacking. However, both protocols have significant implementation challenges, including hardware upgrades and compatibility issues with existing infrastructure, which have slowed adoption rates.

Challenges with Adoption: Smaller internet providers and companies may face financial and technical barriers to adopting RPKI and BGPsec, given the need for new infrastructure and increased computational demands. As a result, some businesses are lobbying for financial and technical support from the government to help with these costs.

Potential Future Regulations

There are discussions within the U.S. government about implementing further compliance requirements for companies in critical sectors. These regulations may mandate RPKI or BGPsec adoption for federal contractors or companies operating in industries deemed essential to national security. These requirements could have far-reaching impacts if implemented, prompting companies across sectors to adopt enhanced BGP security practices. The potential for further regulation underscores the government's commitment to improving BGP security but may place additional compliance burdens on businesses.

Private Sector Caught in the Government's BGP Security Dragnet

As federal agencies tighten their grip on routing security, private organizations face increasing pressure to align with government security standards or risk losing federal contracts and partnerships. This shift is creating a cascade effect throughout the business world:

The New Compliance Burden

- Organizations scrambling to meet federal routing security requirements
- Rising costs of security upgrades and protocol implementation
- Creation of two-tier internet: government-grade secure routing vs. traditional BGP
- Impact on government contractors and critical infrastructure providers

Market Disruption and Competitive Advantage

- Early adopters of secure routing gaining preference for federal contracts
- Small businesses struggling with compliance costs
- Emergence of new security-focused networking providers
- Impact on international business relationships

Regulatory Compliance and Liability

As the government moves toward requiring stricter security standards, companies must prepare for new compliance requirements related to BGP security. For companies involved in critical sectors, regulatory changes may necessitate immediate upgrades to routing protocols and infrastructure and increased accountability for data protection practices. Non-compliance could lead to fines, loss of federal contracts, or reputational damage.

Industry Trend Toward Proactive Compliance: Many organizations are adopting secure routing practices preemptively, recognizing that enhanced BGP security will likely become a standard requirement. By taking a proactive approach, businesses can avoid future disruptions and remain compliant as regulations evolve.

The Government's Endgame: Beyond BGP

The U.S. government's aggressive stance on BGP security points to a larger strategic goal: forcing the evolution of internet routing beyond BGP's inherent limitations. This push is creating momentum for fundamental changes in how network traffic is managed:

The Security-First Future

- Government-backed research into quantum-resistant routing protocols
- Development of "Zero Trust" routing architectures
- Integration of AI-driven security controls
- Impact on global internet governance

Geopolitical Implications

- Potential fragmentation of global routing standards
- Impact on international data flows
- New alliances forming around routing security
- Competition for control of next-generation protocols

The Limits of Band-Aid Solutions

While the government initially supported incremental improvements like RPKI and BGPsec, intelligence agencies have concluded these measures are insufficient for protecting national security interests. The limitations are becoming clear:

- RPKI and BGPsec adoption remains spotty, creating security gaps
- State-sponsored actors can still exploit protocol weaknesses
- Current solutions don't address fundamental trust issues
- Implementation costs deter global adoption

The Government's Vision for Next-Generation Routing

Federal agencies, particularly DARPA and the NSA, are already investing in potential BGP replacements. Their requirements reveal what post-BGP routing might look like:

- Military-Grade Security: Built-in encryption and authentication
- Sovereign Control: Ability to restrict routing through approved networks
- Attack Resistance: Immunity to state-sponsored manipulation
- Real-Time Verification: Continuous validation of routing integrity

The Writing on the Wall: BGP's Days Are Numbered

The U.S. government's actions suggest a clear trajectory: BGP's role as the internet's primary routing protocol is coming to an end. The question is no longer if, but when and how this transition will occur. Despite the clear signs of BGP's eventual replacement, the transition period presents its own set of challenges and risks:

Continued Reliance on BGP: Risks and Consequences

BGP's vulnerabilities mean that the global internet remains susceptible to incidents that could have far-reaching consequences. Even minor misconfigurations or malicious actions can lead to significant disruptions in service and potential data exposure. With critical infrastructure increasingly reliant on internet-based connectivity, a future BGP incident could have severe implications for healthcare, finance, and government sectors. This reality has raised questions within both the private and public sectors: _Why does so much of the internet's traffic rely on a protocol known to have inherent security risks?_

Toward a New Standard?

While a complete shift from BGP to a new protocol would be technically and logistically challenging, industry stakeholders are beginning to consider alternative solutions. Some initiatives aim to integrate BGP with advanced cryptographic technologies, while others suggest hybrid systems that blend private networking with BGP for added security. Additionally, developments in software-defined networking (SDN) and AI-driven routing solutions point to potential paths forward that could reduce reliance on traditional BGP-based routing.

The U.S. government's involvement in BGP security could be a catalyst for more serious discussions about BGP's future. Government agencies, private companies, and academic institutions may eventually collaborate to research and pilot alternative solutions. In the meantime, the government's support for protocols like RPKI and BGPsec suggests that BGP will remain the standard for now, albeit with critical improvements to mitigate its risks.

Conclusion: A Government-Driven Revolution in Internet Routing

The U.S. government's intervention in BGP security marks a pivotal moment in internet history. What began as technical concerns about routing security has evolved into a national security imperative that's forcing fundamental changes in how the internet operates. The government's three-phase offensive against BGP vulnerabilities—isolation of foreign threats, domestic hardening, and investment in alternatives—signals more than just heightened security awareness. It represents a deliberate strategy to transform internet routing.

For organizations, the implications are clear:

- The era of "trust-based" routing is ending
- Government security standards will increasingly dictate routing practices
- Early adopters of new security measures will gain competitive advantages
- A two-tier internet may emerge: one for critical infrastructure and another for general use

The question is no longer whether BGP will be replaced, but how organizations will navigate the transition to whatever comes next. As the government continues to push for stronger security measures and alternative protocols, businesses must prepare for a future where routing security is not just a technical consideration but a matter of national security compliance.

This transformation, driven by government action rather than technical evolution alone, may represent the most significant change in internet infrastructure since BGP's adoption. Organizations that understand and adapt to this government-led shift will be better positioned for the post-BGP era that appears increasingly inevitable.

Summary

The U.S. government's unprecedented intervention in internet routing security signals the beginning of the end for BGP as we know it. Through a coordinated three-phase strategy, federal agencies are forcing a transformation that will likely lead to new, more secure routing protocols. Organizations must prepare for this government-driven evolution or risk being left behind in an increasingly segmented internet landscape.

References

1. MyEtherWallet Attack (2018)

- "Cryptocurrency Users Unable to Access Accounts After MyEtherWallet DNS Hijacking." The Hacker News, April 24, 2018.
- "Hackers Hijack DNS Server of MyEtherWallet to Steal Cryptocurrency." Bleeping Computer, April 24, 2018.

2. European Telecom Misconfiguration (2019)

- "Google Cloud Networking Incident Report." Google Cloud Platform Blog, June 4, 2019.
- "BGP Leak Causing Internet Outages in China." ThousandEyes Blog, June 6, 2019.

3. Chinese Telecom Restrictions

- "FCC Revokes China Telecom Americas' Authorization to Operate in U.S." FCC Press Release, October 26, 2021.
- "FCC Bans China Unicom Americas from U.S. Networks." Reuters, January 27, 2022.

4. Government BGP Security Initiatives

- "CISA Releases Guidance on Securing Border Gateway Protocol." CISA Alert (AA22-138B), May 18, 2022.
- "DHS Strategic Plan for Securing Internet Routing." Department of Homeland Security, March 2021.
- 5\. State Sponsored BGP Manipulation (2022)
- "Large-Scale BGP Hijacks Target Financial Sector." Oracle Internet Intelligence Blog, March 2022.

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